Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 96.780967 111.010808 127.801189 149.408482 176.988506 211.765331 2.602336e+02
2024-10-13 74.613620 90.852306 111.937309 142.353476 187.063088 254.105249 3.712190e+02
2024-10-20 65.629458 83.124552 107.367519 145.349518 207.680976 316.169342 5.530191e+02
2024-10-27 58.127918 75.595452 100.903112 142.967881 218.015112 365.671620 7.629390e+02
2024-11-03 55.112078 73.710090 101.983142 152.199061 251.105487 478.933827 1.317964e+03
2024-11-10 54.739098 75.522289 108.884917 172.977381 316.028713 727.731057 3.425602e+03
2024-11-17 50.865989 71.317606 105.103070 172.852356 335.426072 875.613044 6.798773e+03
2024-11-24 47.357002 67.261413 100.916890 170.854020 349.523018 1028.841424 1.580835e+04
2024-12-01 44.127873 63.318264 96.373656 167.082142 357.484570 1175.472831 4.960250e+04
2024-12-08 41.753537 60.568387 93.630433 166.635405 375.306313 1416.796077 3.494642e+06
2024-12-15 39.791554 58.331672 91.548549 167.237027 397.221466 1756.135537 NaN
2024-12-22 37.273429 54.926034 86.860650 160.795877 392.725548 1899.772138 NaN
2024-12-29 36.117310 54.043219 87.414843 168.479109 449.469718 3008.759461 NaN
2025-01-05 33.455124 50.292209 81.912087 159.877200 438.990633 3320.344601 NaN
2025-01-12 32.190746 48.947872 81.108344 163.452091 484.155046 5315.437568 NaN
2025-01-19 30.523414 46.719686 78.198469 160.614405 498.694228 7252.077112 NaN
2025-01-26 30.082378 46.722261 79.988305 171.635683 597.571599 22723.336405 NaN
2025-02-02 30.506657 48.394124 85.667976 196.668049 833.332450 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 29.306932 46.798358 83.726569 196.516518 893.443926 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 28.086530 45.073291 81.293585 194.095994 933.870328 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 26.853289 43.243110 78.432676 189.534821 950.281099 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 25.922920 41.963992 76.768893 188.995262 1012.021149 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 25.123193 40.897841 75.513909 189.721921 1095.272902 NaN NaN